Around two weeks ago I put on a bet that I was fairly sure would win; however I didn't do what I would usually do for such a juicy bet. I didn't mail out to my inner circle of Betfair Trading Tips subscribers; the BTT Family. I didn't
If you have traded the over goals market on Betfair then you would have noticed something, from the very first whistle, sometimes before, the price is going up which means that your over goals trade is slipping further and further into the red.
What do you do?! You are sure the game is going to end up with more goals than you've said it will, but while goals aren't going in your virtual losses are getting bigger and bigger. Then what if it's 0-0 at halftime (HT)? Or a goal is scored by the underdog right at the end of the 1st half? The price for the over market you've chosen hardly gets to your original price.
Winning money on Betfair is great, winning money consistently on Betfair is fantastic. Hitting a winning streak is like confirmation that you're doing something right. The trick is staying on that winning streak, carrying on the good work you have been doing; so how do you do that?
I've spoken previously about The Benefits Of A Betfair Trading Buddy in that article I spoke about how having a trading buddy can be beneficial when it comes to assessing and post analysing trades.
I also spoke about how trading can be a lonely place and if you don’t have friends who understand what you are doing or just dismiss it out of hand, then, having a trading buddy or partner can alleviate some of the inevitable loneliness that you can feel trading on your own.
What I did not speak about is the very powerful human psychological responses of social grouping.
We've talked so far about the best types of teams to trade on, the best combinations of teams and indicators and contra-indicators for games ending under and over 2.5 goals and we've talked about using current form to predict when and how many goals there will be in a selected football match.
Now in the final article in the series it’s time to look at the overall and the specific trading strategies we can use when trading on Betfair in this market.
In the two previous articles in the series we've looked at the types of team to trade on in the under 2.5 goals market on the Betfair Exchange. Now lets look at the killer combinations, basically two teams that have all the signs of being involved in a low scoring game.
In this section we may mention some types of team that we haven't mentioned before, simply because these teams only work as a combination.
We will also look at the warning signs before and crucially, while we are trading, we will find out if we can predict when things are about to go wrong.
In this series of articles I am going to reveal the secrets of my under 2.5 goal success. At the moment I am trading at around a 90-95% strike rate in this market, if you have a look at #BTTLive on Twitter you will see that all of my last 10 trades won, even the one that didn’t!
The under/over 2.5 goals market is one of, if not my favourite market at the moment, I usually look for under but now and again if I find something juicy will go for over. However even though they are two sides to the same coin, the way you play them is vastly different.
I wanted to write an article on the difference between trading on the Betfair exchange and standard online sports betting. Quite often as I speak to traders of varying experience they talk as if the Betfair exchange or whatever one they’re using is just another online bookmaker.
Whilst you can use Betfair in a traditional sportsbook type way, it is so much more than that. Before entering into certain markets we need to be aware of the natural order of the Betfair Exchange for that particular market. Which will let us know in advance what our trading opportunities are going to be, which in turn will help us set solid specific market strategies.